April 1-15, 2025

2025-04-07

[BNN Bloomberg, Canada]: Stocks clobbered again: The carnage in financial markets continues today, as investors price in the very real prospect of a global trade war and a sharp slowdown for the world economy in the wake of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policy. Europe’s Stoxx 600 index has tumbled five per cent. Asian markets had their worst day since 2008. S&P 500 equity futures signalled a three per cent loss overnight, though that decline had been trimmed to about two per cent by 8 a.m. EDT. Canadian stocks will likely follow the global trend today, after plunging by more than six per cent last week.

Oil under renewed pressure: The Canadian market was hit especially hard on Friday due to its heavy weighting in energy stocks. That sector is likely to be under pressure again today, as the price of oil is posting a third steep decline — with the U.S. benchmark falling below US$60 a barrel. Economic worries have been weighing on oil, and that was compounded this weekend by Saudi Arabia making some of the biggest cuts in years to its flagship oil price. Saudi Arabia slashed the selling price of its key Arab Light crude to Asia — the top market — by the most since 2022, adding supply concerns to a deteriorating demand outlook. The kingdom’s price move was bigger than traders expected and came atop a surprise output hike from Saudi-led OPEC+ last week.

Trump remains defiant: Trump is touting the steep drop in the oil price as a policy win, as he remains defiant in the wake of the overall market meltdown. In a posting on social media, Trump said: “Oil prices are down, interest rates are down (the slow-moving Fed should cut rates!), food prices are down, there is NO INFLATION, and the long-time abused USA is bringing in Billions of Dollars a week from the abusing countries on Tariffs that are already in place.”

Dimon warns of ‘disastrous’ impacts: One of the leaders of corporate America is taking issue with Trump’s initiatives. JPMorgan Chase Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon is urging a quick resolution to the uncertainties sparked by Trump’s tariffs, and warning against a potentially “disastrous” fragmentation of America’s long-term economic alliances.  “The quicker this issue is resolved, the better because some of the negative effects increase cumulatively over time and would be hard to reverse,” Dimon wrote in his annual shareholder letter. In the near term, “we are likely to see inflationary outcomes, not only on imported goods but on domestic prices, as input costs rise, and demand increases on domestic products.”

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2025-04-04

[BNN Bloomberg, Canada]: Markets plunge again: Stock markets around the world are getting hit again after China retaliated against new U.S. tariffs with levies on all American imports. Stock futures tied to the U.S. S&P 500 Index are indicating another drop of about three per cent is on the way. The drop comes as China retaliates against U.S. tariffs with levies of its own, imposing a 34 per cent tariff on all American imports starting April 10. Today’s downward pressure follows a massive drop yesterday, with Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index plunging 3.8 per cent, the most since June 2020. U.S. indices fell even more, wiping out US$2.5 trillion in value. Investors will closely watch a speech at 11:30 am ET from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, to find out his view of the impact of the Trump tariffs and the stock selloff.

Auto layoffs: For Canada, the tariff impact focus right now is the auto sector. U.S. President Trump’s 25 per cent tariffs on foreign vehicles kicked in yesterday. Prime Minister Mark Carney has responded with plans to impose a 25 per cent retaliatory duty on some U.S.-made vehicles. The highly integrated North American auto industry has been thrown into chaos. About 6,000 workers in Canada’s auto sector have received temporary layoff notices, according to Unifor.

March job losses: There is fresh evidence Canada’s economy was hurting even before the Trump tariffs took effect. The latest numbers from StatsCan show Canada had a net loss of 32,600 jobs in March – economists had expected a small gain. The unemployment rate rose to 6.7 per cent. It’s the biggest monthly job loss in more than three years. Wholesale and retail trade, culture and recreation, business support services, agriculture and manufacturing led job losses. In the U.S., March payrolls unexpectedly rose by 228,000, but the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2 per cent as more Americans entered the workforce.

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2025-04-03

[BNN Bloomberg, Canada]: Trump’s tariff plan: U.S. President Donald Trump has disrupted the global economy, imposing steep import tariffs against most countries, sparking threats of retaliation and a selloff in markets around the world. Trump announced he will apply at least a 10 per cent “reciprocal” tariff on all exporters to the U.S., with even higher duties on some 60 nations, to counter large trade imbalances with the U.S. That includes some of the country’s biggest trading partners, such as China — which now faces a tariff of well above 50 per cent on many goods — as well as the European Union, Japan and Vietnam. The EU and China re vowing to impose retaliatory measures. Canada and Mexico will not be subject to the new 10 per cent U.S. tariff – though measures Trump has already imposed on Canadian and Mexican goods remain intact, and new ones that touch the automotive sector come into force today.

Canada’s response: Prime Minister Mark Carney responded to Trump’s announcements late yesterday, saying: “In a crisis it’s important to come together and it’s essential to act with purpose and with force, and that’s what we will do.” Carney told reporters Trump has introduced measures that will change the international trading system in a fundamental manner but has preserved some major aspects of the Canada-U.S. trading relationship. He also indicated Canada will respond with countermeasures, but did not give specifics. Carney said Canada’s response will come after he meets with provincial premiers today.

Markets plunge: Meanwhile, global financial markets have been hit by a sweeping selloff after Trump’s announcement, with U.S. equity futures slumping by more than three per cent. American companies such as Apple and Nike that rely on overseas production are under the most pressure, as well as retailers such as Walmart that sell a large amount of foreign-made goods. The price of oil is down about five per cent amid fears of a global economic slowdown. The U.S. dollar is trading lower against most currencies including the loonie, which has surged to its highest level against the greenback since last December, approaching 71 U.S. cents. BNN Bloomberg will have extensive coverage throughout the day, including insight from influential market analyst David Rosenberg at 10 a.m. EDT.

Auto tariffs now in effect: Trump’s 25 per cent tariff on U.S. auto imports takes effect today, in a move expected to dramatically increase costs and upend industry supply chains. Certain auto parts will also be hit by an equivalent levy no later than May 3 under a plan Trump announced last week. The impact is already being felt here in Canada – Stellantis will be halting production at its Chrysler factory in Windsor for two weeks, as the U.S.-European auto giant seeks to adjust to the new tariff regime.

[Investopedia, USA]: Apple (AAPL) shares plummeted in extended trading Wednesday after President Trump unveiled sweeping reciprocal tariffs, including a steep 34% import tax on China, the country where the iPhone maker manufactures about 90% of its products.

Not only could Washington’s tariffs raise the price of the tech giant’s devices imported into the U.S., but they may also slow sales in China, Apple’s second largest market, should Beijing impose retaliatory levies on U.S. companies operating in the country.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley pointed out that tariffs on iPhones and other devices imported from China will increase Apple’s annual costs by $8.5 billion, creating a 7% drag on the iPhone maker’s profit.

As of Wednesday’s close, Apple shares trade down a little over 10% since the start of the year and 14% below their record high set in December, in part over uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s trade policies. The stock fell 7% to around $208 in after-hours trading.

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2025-04-02

[BNN Bloomberg, Canada]: ‘Liberation Day’: The world is waiting for U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement today of his so-called reciprocal tariff plan. The event is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. EDT at the White House Rose Garden. The Trump administration is still said to be considering multiple options, including a tiered tariff system with a set of flat rates for countries, as well as a more customized plan. Under the first option, countries would see their goods face levies at either a 10 per cent or 20 per cent rate depending on their tariff and non-tariff barriers on U.S. goods. In any case, the White House says the tariffs will take effect immediately after they are announced. BNN Bloomberg will have extensive live coverage of the tariff situation today – including the announcement itself, as well as previews, analysis, and live reports from Canada and the U.S.

Canada’s response: Once the Trump tariff plan is announced, Canadians will be looking for our federal government’s response. Prime Minister Mark Carney has vowed retaliatory measures if Canada is hit with additional tariffs. The Globe and Mail is reporting Canada won’t impose retaliatory tariffs on most U.S. food and other basic necessities that could drive up the cost of living for Canadians, or on components that are essential to avoiding job losses in key sectors of the economy. Carney is expected to meet virtually this afternoon with his Canada-U.S. relations council and then convene a cabinet committee after Trump’s speech.

U.S. targets Quebec, Alberta: Meanwhile, the U.S. is targeting Quebec’s French-language-first law as a barrier to trade, as well as Alberta’s electricity import practices. A new report on foreign trade barriers by the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative says that businesses have “expressed concerns” about the impact Bill 96 will have on their trademarks for products.  The requirements to translate certain trademarks into French is likely to increase costs. The report also alleges the Alberta Electric System Operator has been giving preferential market access to electricity generated in Alberta over imports from Montana.

U.S. Senate to vote on Canada tariffs: Trump is also dealing with opposition to his tariff plans from within Congress. In a social media posting overnight, Trump demanded Republicans in the Senate oppose a bill which, if passed, could derail sweeping 25 per cent tariffs on Canadian goods. The bill calls for the termination of the national emergency Trump declared on Feb. 1, which led to 25 per cent tariffs on most imports from Canada – though some of those tariffs were later repealed. The Senate is expected to vote on the bill today.

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2025-04-01

[BNN Bloomberg, Canada]: Trump tariff watch: Stock markets are under pressure again this morning, as investors await details of U.S. President Donald Trump’s so-called reciprocal tariffs and other levies on what he has labelled “Liberation Day." The announcement is expected at 3 p.m. EDT on Wednesday at an event in the White House Rose Garden. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt says that new tariffs will be imposed by country rather than by sector. There are reports a “reciprocal” tariff level of around 20 per cent will be imposed on most U.S. imports. BNN Bloomberg will have extensive live coverage of the tariff announcements tomorrow – including previews, analysis, and live reports from Canada and the U.S. 

Carney’s housing plan: There have been more developments in Canada’s federal election campaign. Liberal leader Mark Carney says a reelected Liberal government would create a new entity called “Build Canada Homes,” which would act as a developer to build affordable housing, including on public lands. The entity would also provide more than $25 billion in financing to prefabricated-home builders in Canada. It would offer an additional $10 billion in low- cost financing and capital to affordable-home builders. Meanwhile, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre says he would cut back on foreign aid and cap government spending to pay for his capital gains tax deferral measure that would cost $10.5 billion over two years. Speaking to BNN Bloomberg, Poilievre was asked what federal programs would be cut for his campaign pledge, which would allow the deferral of capital gains tax if reinvested in Canada. “We will get rid of bureaucracy, consultants, handouts to corporate insiders that ship jobs overseas. We will also cut back on foreign aid. We’ll bring in dollar-for-dollar law that caps government spending, requiring we find equal savings for every new expenditure,” Poilievre said. You can watch the full interview on BNNBloomberg.ca.

Gold keeps shining: The price of gold has hit a record high, as uncertainty about Trump’s trade tariffs heightened concerns about the global economy and fanned haven demand. Bullion is trading at around US$3,150 an ounce, on pace for a fourth day of gains. The precious metal has been one of the strongest performing commodities this year, posting its best quarter since 1986 in the opening three months. The ascent has been fuelled by consistent central bank buying, plus a rising tide of haven demand amid intensifying geopolitical and macro uncertainties.

Canada-U.S. travel drops: Air Canada says demand for flights between Canadian and U.S. cities is weak for the spring and summer months, as Canadians respond to the trade war by avoiding trips south. As Bloomberg’s Mathieu Dion reports, bookings for transborder flights were down 10 per cent for the April-to-September period compared with the same period last year as of mid-March, according to a presentation at the company’s annual meeting. And it’s not just Air Canada. WestJet has given similar indications, and yesterday Porter Airlines said it has altered its summer schedule so that domestic routes are 80 per cent of its total capacity, up from 75 per cent in its original plan.

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